If you have ever placed a bet on a horse race or been to a race course, you will know how difficult it is to predict the winner. You’ll stand and watch as the horse you thought was a sure fire bet, comes in last. Not just last even, but dead last and pulled up before it has even jumped the first fence or completed the first furlong.
Finding that winner is never easy and yet, somehow, there always appears to be somebody who knows this rumour. There is this horse in the fourth race of the day, which just can not lose. It has been on top form all month, running brilliantly at the stables and the ground is the perfect match for its style.
Where do these tips come from and why do I only find out about them after the race and after the odds have been slashed from 100/1 all the way down to dead-cert favourites at 2/1.
I don’t think I have ever been on the receiving end of a great tip. I have no idea who I would ask to find out. If you speak to any groom or worker from any of the individual stables, I’m pretty sure they will all tell you that their horse is in the best shape of it’s life and that it is a sure-fire bet. If they don’t tell you that, then they aren’t doing their job of making sure the horse is in the best shape of it’s life.
So where do the good rumours come from and why can’t I discover them before the betting closes down and all the money is gone?
I followed a guy on Twitter once, who always posted photos of winning betting slips and showed how he was winning hundreds every day. He seemed to be in the know and would back some ridiculous outsiders, which would manage to come home by a nose. To start with, how do you predict that and secondly, at what point do you put hundreds of pounds on a horse which is sat at over 100/1? There is so little chance of it actually winning that you must surely place the bet and assume that you are never going to see that money again.
Aside from the ridiculous nature of that one guy, the only other place I have found which was remotely successful was a website showing today’s free horse racing tips. It’s just like a pundit on the TV, they pick a few favourites which they think will win and let you know. Even then, they seem to have some kind of inside knowledge and are able to predict the winners way above the normal averages.
It is just one of those things that I’ll never get my head around. How some people can get some kind of insider knowledge and information. Who leaks this out and how do they value it? How do these people know what to believe and what is just random noise coming out from a press statement?
That’s how the pundits make their money. They are able to separate the normal press statements and fluff which comes out of the stables and from the grooms. They find the important pieces of information which will actually make the difference in the race. They can assess the whole field and know which horses will be the front runners. They’ll be able to assess the whole field and then tell you where you need to putting your money when you place your bet.